Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": https://amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at https://amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) In the aftermath of the Moscow Theater Attack, an interesting intelligence game began playing out between Russia and the United States. The Kremlin has strong political incentives to tie the attack to Ukraine. Given an earlier warning about the possibility of an attack, the United States likely has information it could release to counter Russian narratives. However, any such revelations risk sacrificing intelligence gathering methods. Thus, the dilemma for the Kremlin is find the right way to frame the attack without inducing the United States to disrupt the process. This video goes into the details of how such a dilemma works and the complications that come with it. 0:00 The Brewing U.S.-Russia Intel Battle 2:43 What Is "Duty to Warn"? 6:20 Early Warnings of an Attack 8:43 Russia's Ukraine Claims 10:42 Russia's Domestic Reaction to the Link 11:58 The Intelligence Game 16:55 How to Play the Game with Uncertain Information The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement. Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0): By Khamenei.ir: https://farsi.khamenei.ir/photo-album?id=41944 https://farsi.khamenei.ir/photo-album?id=49438 https://farsi.khamenei.ir/photo-album?id=54778 By Kremlin.ru: http://tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate http://en.kremlin.ru/press/photo http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords/78/events/50329 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/58405 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/58502 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/60495 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62096 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/65133 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/65973 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69101 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69390 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/64324 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66427 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70098 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/72994 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73255 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73411 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73585 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73648 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73678 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73703 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73720 http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73732